The DeGen Bible to Financial Freedom - Vol.42

$CNY is under a two-front war. If this situation is mirrored in DeFi, all the traders now would heavily be shorting $CNY as per on-chain movement of the central bank selling US bonds to support the currency value.

The DeGen Bible to Financial Freedom - Vol.42
SEAN Times Vol.42 18 August to 25 August

Week 18 August -  25 August 2023


What's wrong with the East? - Mars Captain

🧠 Observations

  • The expression of the elephant in the room describes the best the economic situation in China. $CNY is under a two-front war. The People's bank of China has a difficult time to decide between protecting real estate (by increasing interest rate) and protecting export (by devaluing the currency). So far, we can see the CCP has opted for the latter and as we see these Chinese real estate giants falling down one by one.  
  • Captain has expressed his concern over $CNY in SEAN Times vol.37 using the Curve analogy. If this situation is mirrored in DeFi, all the traders now would heavily be shorting $CNY as everyone sees the on-chain movement of the central bank attempting to sell US bonds to support the currency value... Oops, not financial advice, guys. Please don't, it's fiat, it's not crypto. (Well, we were told that fiat is real? LOL!) I hope no traditional finance people read this post.
  • The market is so dry that a fabricated friend.tech thing can shoot up the baby phase of Base to the moon. Come on. Arbitrum has the most organic retail traffic on L2, Optimism has the most enterprise level adoption (even Base is based on OP Stack). Are we that sure about friend-to-earn? We have seen StepN, and multiple similar failures. This is a good tactic to kick off the ecosystem, but DeFiLama isn't saying there is any other thing going on on Base... Watch your steps, Base Degenz.
  • Yeah, SpaceX sold, but it was last year and some regular listed company practice. So, we see the size of Elon is size whether it's past or present tense. Did Singapore's stable framework or Hong Kong's Hashkey taking retail investors FOMO the market? Sorry, their size is not size, we are in crypto, not in TradFi, not in banking. Understand this will help us navigate opportunities more easily.

💵 Stablecoin & Market Landscape

  • Stablecoin market share remains high in reference to the total crypto market capitalization. 11.36% of stablecoin (124B) on 1.09T crypto market.

Reminder: Mid-NOV 2021, this percentage was around 4ish% with a 3T total MC. Now we are at 11ish% with a 1ishT total MC.

Total Crypto Market Cap 25 August 2023
  • Now at 1.09T.  Still hanging around on the 1T level. Going steady.

Reminder, June and Nov 2022 witnessed a bottom of 800ish B MC vis-a-vis the market’s top in NOV 2021 at 3T.

Infographics

Milady is an outliner
  • If we look at the NFT market as an independent crypto cycle, we can see the old blue-chips like BAYC, Crypto Punk, Azuki as BTC, ETH, XRP, then you have Milady as the Dogecoin.
  • If Captain's analogy makes sense, that means when Milady crashes, the other NFT OGs will still crash more. Memecoin is the last category to lead and crash. So NFT's abyss hasn't bottomed yet.
BTC Volatility Index sharp rise
  • Looks like we have some movements to keep a close eye on.
TVL in L2s
  • Not that Captain is not convinced with Base. But, crypto is a grassroots movement. If some billionaire backed stuff can fight organic traffic, I mean, please do. Did you ever see human controlling the nature win? Arbitrum is where you see the nature, not Base. Sorry, Captain is just emotional about corporate monopoly, despite he has good feelings towards Coinbase.  
  • Look, if we have faith in Base, we might as well look at the upcoming opBNB. The queen of EVM is fostering a princess or a price at least for layer 2.
Brands Web3 revenue ranking
  • NFT isn't Captain's most favourable, though we do acknowledge its value. Looking at stats like this one simply reflects how difficult a nobody would be able to fight against corporate monopoly given the same technology.
  • Winning isn't just about your having the sharpest sword. There is an invisible and intangible context, culture, history that your sword can never fight. This is what we think about NFTs, it's gonna make brands more profitable but not too much the grassroots.
RWA TVL on the rise
  • Basically, these RWAs are short term T-bills right...
  • Data cosmetics, we like some graph and fancy visualisation, but we also needa question what is represented.

🔢 Index

BTC Fear Index at 39, 25 Aug 2023
  • SpaceX sold BTC old news, + traditional media house amplifier, only pushed down 10ish points + 7% decline in $BTC price.
  • The lesson here, is that crypto people should not underestimate the traditional media's power and a lot of us live in echo chambers of decentralisation and data sovereignty. If some WSJ or Bloomberg repost a 1-year old news can push down 7% of the elephant. Think how niche and small our market is for now.
CBBI at 36, 24 August 2023
  • CBBI getting close to Fear index. What is the catch here?

📰 Current affairs

Starfish Finance:

Chapter 2— Flip Your Zero to Become A Hero
A flip a day keeps the bill away.
Coin Flip – The Second Game of Starfish Entertainment-Fi

BTC

Let’s talk Bitcoin staking: Babylon’s litepaper
Using Bitcoin to secure a proof-of-stake chain may sound impossible, but the team at Babylon Chain have utilized simple staking logic to make it a reality.
Let’s talk Bitcoin staking: Babylon’s litepaper
Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Now Less Volatile Than Oil: Kaiko Research - Decrypt
The summer doldrums are hitting Bitcoin and Ethereum hard, dampening the assets’ historic volatility to multi-year lows.
Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Now Less Volatile Than Oil: Kaiko Research
Trading volume for Bitcoin Ordinals falls over 97% since May: report
Bitcoin Ordinals’ trading volume has nosedived by over 97% since May 2023, a report claimed.
Trading volume for Bitcoin Ordinals falls over 97% since May: report

ETH

Ethereum developers to debut new testnet ‘Holesky’ next month
Ethereum core developers are planning to launch a new testnet called Holesky in September to improve smart contract testing experience.
Ethereum developers to debut new testnet 'Holesky' next month

Layer 1s/ Major DeFi

Hacker creates memecoin after stealing $870,000 from RocketSwap on Base
RocketSwap, a decentralized exchange on the Base Layer 2 network, was hacked — losing 471 ETH.
Hacker creates memecoin after stealing $870,000 from RocketSwap on Base
Layer 2 Wars Heat Up As Coinbase Launches Base
Coinbase officially launched the public mainnet for its long-awaited Base layer 2 blockchain network on August 9. It is the first public company to release a blockchain.
Layer 2 Wars Heat Up As Coinbase Launches Base
Crypto Lending Platform Maple Finance Raises $5M in Funding for Asia Expansion - Decrypt
Maple Finance will also put the new money to work building out its newly launched pure-play lending arm, Maple Direct.
Crypto Lending Platform Maple Finance Raises $5M in Funding for Asia Expansion
Ethereum’s Vitalik Buterin ‘Very Hopeful’ Dogecoin Moves to Proof of Stake - Decrypt
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin said that all blockchains, including Dogecoin and Zcash, looking to scale should move to proof of stake.
Ethereum's Vitalik Buterin 'Very Hopeful' Dogecoin Moves to Proof of Stake
Mantle Network crosses $40 million in TVL within a month of launch
Mantle Network, a Layer 2 blockchain network operating on Ethereum, has seen notable growth since its launch last month.
Mantle Network crosses $40 million in TVL within a month of launch
Membrane Finance Brings the First Euro Stablecoin to Solana – Along With Card Payments - EUROe
Read the article at euroe.com to learn more.
Membrane Finance Brings the First Euro Stablecoin to Solana – Along With Card Payments
PancakeSwap expands to Consensys-powered Ethereum Layer 2 Linea
PancakeSwap has launched on the Linea mainnet — the Consensys-powered Ethereum Layer 2 — as it continues its multichain expansion.
PancakeSwap expands to Consensys-powered Ethereum Layer 2 Linea
Linea Completes Public Mainnet Rollout
Users Can Now Bridge ERC-20 Tokens To Consensys’ Layer 2 Network
Linea Completes Public Mainnet Rollout
Binance To Launch opBNB Layer 2 Network Later This Month
Early Users Can Claim Genesis NFT
Binance To Launch opBNB Layer 2 Network Later This Month
Aave stablecoin GHO struggles to hold dollar peg. ‘The focus on peg should come later,’ founder says
Since its launch, GHO has fluctuated between $0.97 and $0.99, but Aave’s founder says this could change soon.
Ethereum Layer-2 Arbitrum Sees Ongoing ‘Influx’ of New Users After ARB Airdrop: Nansen - Decrypt
Arbitrum has enjoyed continued growth even after the ARB airdrop, as new users pile into the speedy layer-2.
Ethereum Layer-2 Arbitrum Sees Ongoing ‘Influx’ of New Users After ARB Airdrop: Nansen
Meme Coins PEPE, SHIB Plummet More Than 20% Over the Week - Decrypt
It’s been a bearish week for crypto prices in general, but holders of meme coins PEPE and SHIB bear the brunt of the downturn.
Meme Coins PEPE, SHIB Plummet More Than 20% Over the Week
Pendle Finance Users Can Now Profit From Real World Assets
Pendle will use MakerDao’s boosted Savings (sDAI) and Flux Finance’s fUSDC in its first real-world assets (RWA) based product.
Pendle Finance Users Can Now Profit From Real World Assets

Twitter

Solana Zero or Hero?
Maker, a good day to DAI? 
Bull market thesis
Tornado Cash 
Friend Tech ripping off retail thesis
Four Phases of a Bull Market

NFTs

Mark Cuban, Yuga Labs Lead Backlash Over OpenSea’s NFT Royalties Change - Decrypt
OpenSea investor Mark Cuban expressed disappointment in the marketplace’s move as creators plot potential boycotts and restrictions.
Mark Cuban, Yuga Labs Lead Backlash Over OpenSea's NFT Royalties Change

Macro econ/ Regulations

Ledger launches PayPal integration for buying bitcoin and ether
Ledger and PayPal team up for payment integration designed to streamline U.S. customers purchasing cryptocurrency.
Ledger launches PayPal integration for buying bitcoin and ether
Fed Saw ‘Significant’ Inflation Risk That May Merit More Hikes
Federal Reserve officials at their policy meeting in July largely remained concerned that inflation would fail to recede and that further interest-rate increases would be needed. At the same time, cracks in that consensus were also becoming more apparent.
Fed Saw Significant Inflation Risk that May Merit More Hikes
Asia promotes crypto clarity amid regulatory uncertainty in the U.S.
Asia is promoting clear crypto rules at a time when large firms are facing regulatory uncertainty in the U.S., said industry observers.
Asia promotes crypto clarity amid regulatory uncertainty in the U.S.
Mastercard Deepens Tie to CBDCs as Nations Mull Issuing Digital Currencies
Some of the first partners in a new Mastercard CBDC forum include Ripple, Fireblocks and Consensys.
Mastercard Deepens Tie to CBDCs as Nations Mull Issuing Digital Currencies
Evergrande files for US bankruptcy protection as China economic fears mount
Embattled developer China Evergrande Group has filed for U.S. bankruptcy protection as part of one of the world’s biggest debt restructurings, as anxiety grows over China’s worsening property crisis and its impact on the weakening economy.
Evergrande files for US bankruptcy protection as China economic fears mount
China’s army filmed apparently preparing for conflict in Taiwan strait
Propaganda video shows troops running past anti-landing barricades similar to those that dot Taiwan’s coast
China’s army filmed apparently preparing for conflict in Taiwan strait
China Is Taking Its Social Credit System to the Metaverse: Report - Decrypt
Officials in China have reportedly put forth a set of proposals for a “government-controlled internet” to a UN metaverse focus group.
China Is Taking Its Social Credit System to the Metaverse: Report
How much worse can China’s economic slowdown get?
China’s economic activity data for July, including retail sales, industrial output and investment failed to match expectations, fuelling concern over a deeper, longer-lasting slowdown in growth.
How much worse can China's economic slowdown get?
$370m data hosting and crypto mining center opens in Salalah, Oman
Second such facility in the country since November 2022
$370m data hosting and crypto mining center opens in Salalah, Oman

Research reports/videos (DYOR)

Crypto’s Oldest Use Case Is Back in the Spotlight. But Why Now? - Decrypt
One of the core promises of crypto is making headlines again. But why has tokenization all of a sudden made headlines again?
Crypto's Oldest Use Case Is Back in the Spotlight. But Why Now?
Chinese Tech Stocks Tumble as Beijing Defends Yuan
China’s economic woes increase the pressure on some of the country’s largest internet companies, including Alibaba, JD.com and Baidu.
Chinese Tech Stocks Tumble as Beijing Defends Yuan Amid Rising Economic Fears
The Flippening: why the Ethereum crypto supremacy is only about …
Discover the imminent crypto revolution that’s beyond BTC bubbles! The flippening is so evident, it’s like debunking flat earth theories. Dive in! 🚀🌍
The Flippening: why the Ethereum crypto supremacy is only about time
The Solana Reading List
Curated list of useful Solana resources.
The Solana Reading List
Being Onbrand, Onchain
By: Karen Shen, Collab+Currency
Being Onbrand, Onchain