The DeGen Bible to Financial Freedom - Vol.27

Shanghai upgrade is finished, Ethereum has no more narrative for now. FOMC is around the corner again. Coin Bureau's warning a potential real estate market collapse in the US. Calling whatever crypto web3 as if there is a new economy isn't accurate for our industry.

The DeGen Bible to Financial Freedom - Vol.27

The DeGen Bible to Financial Freedom - Vol.27

Week 11 Apr -  17 Apr 2023


Happy families are all alike; every unhappy family is unhappy in its own way. - Mars Captain

🧠 Observations

  • Shanghai upgrade is finished, Ethereum has no more narrative now. Even Vitalik is not shilling anything on Ethereum development. Who/what will lead the next narrative in the rest of 2023?
  • FOMC is around the corner again. Coin Bureau's warning a potential real estate market collapse in the US. Though Captain doesn't think it would happen, it's still a risk not to overlook as crypto will react to all macro market conditions.
  • Still connecting the dots between CBBI, stablecoin MC % and other market sentiment data points. It seems likely that this small recovery of he crypto market is reaching the end?
  • People should keep their mind clear, Web3 is another word for crypto. Calling whatever crypto web3 as if there is a new economy isn't accurate for our industry. Captain advises every Starfish subscriber to be wary of any government-led initiatives in crypto, or web3. They are not here to help, same as their anti-drug, anti-humantrafficing, anti-this & anti-that is just to_____. 💰💰💰. I let you fill in this blank.

💵 Stablecoin & Market Landscape

  • Stablecoin market share remains high in reference to the total crypto market capitalization. 10.05% of stablecoin (132.4B) on 1.31T crypto market.

Reminder: Mid-NOV 2021, this percentage was around 4ish% with a 3T total MC. Now we are at 12ish% with a 1ishT total MC.

  • Now at 1.31T.  Still hanging around on the T level. Grown 30% since January 2023.

Reminder, June and Nov 2022 witnessed a bottom of 800ish B MC vis-a-vis the market’s top in NOV 2021 at 3T.

Infographics

BAYC is the BTC in NFT
  • That's a terrible landscape if that's the development of NFT and Metaverse whatever. Even for a bear market, DeFi's development has been more active than the JPEGs.
Dogecoin followers
  • This infographics says a lot about the world of crypto. You need one Elon Musk to counter all the influence combined elsewhere. This should be classroom material.
China Credit Impulse
  • This might be bullish for Chinese stocks?
  • Nah, real crypto OGs are mostly Chinese, this is something for the crypto market.
Matrixport BTC price target 64k in March 2024
  • Matrixport has been doing pretty good research, mainly focused on BTC, pretty impressive about their pure analysis since Q4 2022. Even the SBF saga didn't undo their prediction. Good work to follow, fishes.
K33 Research high correlation of 2018-19 BTC price with today's
  • Quoting K33 research, "BTC’s current drawdown and recovery cycle is remarkably similar to the pattern seen in the 2018-19 bear market in terms of length and trajectory. If history repeats BTC will peak around May 20 at $45,000." 🤔
ETH Staking % Kraken is king
  • Kraken got fined by SEC, not just for money, but also they have to stop this staking business. This is such a shame, and when you look at this post-Shanghai upgrade landscape, the SEC really cut a bloody arm off Kraken...

🔢 Index

Fear Index at 69 17 Apr 2023
  • It has been in greed for a month, and the price level has become stagnant.
  • If we look at the current market as a small bull one without referencing to the 2021's hyper bull, this data point represents a cycle top.
CBBI at 29 16 Apr 2023
  • Same as fear index, CBBI has been stagnant, so it's almost 1/2 of the ATH total MC. Same as BTC's price. In this perspective, current cycle top isn't an unconvincing thesis.

📰 Current affairs

Starfish Finance:

Prediction Market — The First Game of Starfish’s Entertainment-Fi
Play to earn?
Prediction Market — The First Game of Starfish Entertainment-Fi
Starfish Finance II - Attack of the (Dapp) Clones
Far beyond Earth and millions of miles past the moon, there’s a planet where Decentralized Finance (DeFi) and NFT-Fi meet on an interoperable network. First observed in 2022, the world known as “Starfish Planet” is home to degens, hodlers, frens and a starfish named Sean.
Starfish Finance II - Attack of the (Dapp) Clones
Starfish Finance: A cross-chain DeFi, NFT-finance platform on Astar Network, a Polkadot parachain
Starfish Finance is a pioneer project in the Astar incubation project and the first decentralized finance (DeFi) and nonfungible token (NFT) finance platform on Astar Network.
Starfish Finance: A cross-chain DeFi, NFT-finance platform on Astar Network, a Polkadot parachain

BTC

Coinbase CEO says Bitcoin Lightning is ‘something we’ll integrate’
Coinbase may integrate Lightning into its trading platform, according to CEO Brian Armstrong, who has considered the idea of supporting a Bitcoin scaling solution since 2016.
Coinbase CEO says Bitcoin Lightning is 'something we’ll integrate'
Former PayPal president’s startup is building tools to make using Bitcoin’s Lightning Network easier.
Lightspark revealed its product suite, which could also provide an alternative to 24/7 trading that ended with the demise of Silvergate and Signature banks.
Bitcoin's Lightning Network is hard to use. PayPal's ex-president has a solution, and a replacement for SEN & Signet

ETH

Ethereum’s Shanghai Upgrade Is Complete, Starting New Era of Staking Withdrawals
The upgrade on the blockchain, also known as “Shapella” was triggered at 22:27 UTC, and the network is now processing withdrawal requests.
Ethereum’s Shanghai Upgrade Is Complete, Starting New Era of Staking Withdrawals

Layer 1s/ Major DeFi

SushiSwap hacked, Head Chef says ‘revoke all chains’
The exploit involves the RouterProcessor2 contract — which PeckShield and SushiSwap Head Chef Jared Grey recommend revoking on all chains.
SushiSwap hacked, Head Chef says 'revoke all chains'
Ethereum Layer 2 Network zkSync Era Jumps to Nearly $250M in Locked Value
More than 7 million transactions have been conducted on the network since launch, which can process 3.5 transactions per second, data shows.
Ethereum Layer 2 Network zkSync Era Jumps to Nearly $250M in Locked Value
MakerDAO’s Endgame Is Making Some Delegates Uneasy
The upcoming transition to metaDAOs and a change in MKR tokenomics via the MakerDAO Endgame plan continues to draw concerns.
MakerDAO’s Endgame Is Making Some Delegates Uneasy
Binance’s US Exchange Says Bye-Bye to TRON’s TRX Token
Binance US will delist TRX and SPELL on April 18 as they “no longer meets our high standards,” the exchange said
Binance’s US Exchange Says Bye-Bye to TRON’s TRX Token
Unstoppable Games will launch Web3 sci-fi MMO Influence on Starknet
Connect with top gaming leaders in Los Angeles at GamesBeat Summit 2023 this May 22-23. Register here. Unstoppable Games announced it will launch its Web3 science fiction massively multiplayer online (MMO) game called Influence on the Starknet platform for the Ethereum blockchain. StarkWare, creator…
Unstoppable Games will launch Web3 sci-fi MMO Influence on Starknet
Uniswap’s iOS app launches on Apple App Store
Uniswap’s wallet app is now officially available on Apple’s App Store after it was delayed for unspecified reasons.
Apple lets Uniswap's wallet app out of 'jail'
Solana’s Crypto-Ready ‘Saga’ Smartphone Goes on Sale May 8
The Saga aims to put crypto in people’s pockets, where the rest of the digital world has already gone.
Solana’s Crypto-Ready ‘Saga’ Smartphone Goes on Sale May 8
Real-World Tokenization Is Surging as TradFi Grows More Receptive to Blockchain
A number of banks and other big brands want to bring more efficiency to their transactions.
Real-World Tokenization Is Surging as TradFi Grows More Receptive to Blockchain

Twitter

What are whales buying these days? 
BTC Ordinal NFT standard
Wallets to be the next narrative? 

NFTs

Borrowing Against NFTs Is Now a $1 Billion Industry—What’s Next? - Decrypt
Since volumes for borrowing against NFTs crossed $1 billion, many are left wondering: Who’s using their jpeg as collateral in this market?
Borrowing Against NFTs Is Now a $1 Billion Industry—What’s Next?

Macro econ/ Regulations

Hong Kong reiterates cryptocurrency regulation commitment at city’s largest Web3 show
At Hong Kong’s Web3 Festival, Financial Secretary Paul Chan says financial system must be protected in Web3, while SFC official says DeFi platforms may require a licence.
Hong Kong officials reiterate commitment to cryptocurrency, DeFi regulation at Web3 Festival
Japan Approves Web3 White Paper to Promote Industry Growth in the Country
The document proposes more tax reforms, clearer accounting standards and a DAO law.
Japan Approves Web3 White Paper to Promote Industry Growth in the Country
How banks are eyeing deposit tokens for B2B payments - Ledger Insights - blockchain for enterprise
Deposit tokens or commercial bank money tokens involve banks issuing tokens directly onto non-bank blockchain networks
How banks are eyeing deposit tokens for B2B payments
China’s ‘Credit Impulse’ Is Picking Up. Here’s Why It Matters to Bitcoin
Credit impulse, an indicator introduced by former Deutsche Bank economist Michael Biggs, measures the change in new credit issued as a percentage of the gross domestic product.
China's 'Credit Impulse' Is Picking Up. Here's Why It Matters to Bitcoin
Hong Kong’s ZA Bank wants to be the go-to bank for crypto startups
Hong Kong-based ZA Bank is now allowed to serve as the settlement bank for regulated web3 companies in the city.
Hong Kong’s ZA Bank wants to be the go-to bank for crypto startups
Twitter partners with eToro to show real-time stock and crypto information
Twitter has partnered with the investment platform eToro to show real-time information about stocks and crypto prices.
Twitter partners with eToro to show real-time stock and crypto information

Research reports/videos (DYOR)

‘We made close to $1 million’: Inside the murky world of airdrop farming
Crypto airdrops are again providing big rewards, largely to those gaming the system. That’s as long as they don’t get caught.
The making of Binance’s CZ: An exclusive look at the forces that shaped crypto’s most powerful founder
How China’s hardball startup culture, Canada’s Asian immigrant community, and “Rich Dad Poor Dad” helped Changpeng Zhao become a mild-mannered but sharp-elbowed competitor.
The making of Binance’s CZ: An exclusive look at the forces that shaped crypto’s most powerful founder
Towards AMM 2.0: Creating an Ecosystem for Advanced AMM Applications (AAA)
Automated Market Makers (AMMs) have revolutionized the way we trade cryptocurrencies by providing an automated way to buy and sell assets…
Towards AMM 2.0: Creating an Ecosystem for Advanced AMM Applications (AAA)
MiCA: What Europe’s New Crypto Rules Mean for the Industry - Decrypt
The European Union will soon usher in a suite of new crypto rules called MiCA. But what are they and what does it mean for the industry?
MiCA: What Europe’s New Crypto Rules Mean for the Industry
Powell’s Trouble With the Curve
Macro Update: Why The Fed’s Ignoring the Market’s Signals
Powell’s Trouble With the Curve
A ‘Super App’ May Be Web3’s Super Power
Elon Musk has a vision to turn Twitter into an all-in-one app, like WeChat. Turns out, permissionless and composable crypto platforms together form something better than the sum of its parts.
A ‘Super App’ May Be Web3’s Super Power