The DeGen Bible to Financial Freedom - Vol.23

The FED runs a state, not a business. Fear & Greed Index is your friend in a nutshell. Fundamentals matter.

The DeGen Bible to Financial Freedom - Vol.23

Week 15 Mar -  20 Mar 2023


There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen - Mars Captain

🧠 Observations

  • Fear & Greed index summarises more than what we think, so we are in greed territory now, are you sure you want to continue FOMO?
  • Media VS Fundamentals, we have seen this throughout 2021-2022, and the same patterns still repeats in 2023. Which side shall retail investors take? Captain is old school. So, fxxk the media (precisely left-wing, Anglo-Saxon, Bloomberg, Ex-this, Ex that, whatever ones like SBF we kn0w.)  
  • The FED will not be hesitant on their hammer, unless they are just a corporation, not a government. Running a state and running a business are two very different things. Don't be confused.

💵 Stablecoin & Market Landscape

  • Stablecoin market share remains high in reference to the total crypto market capitalization. 11.12% of stablecoin (134.4B) on 1.2T crypto market.
  • Every 1% decline of stable MC translates into 3-4$ total MC growth. 11-12% was 2022 summer level.

Reminder: Mid-NOV 2021, this percentage was around 4ish% with a 3T total MC. Now we are at 12ish% with a 1ishT total MC.

  • Now at 1.2T.  Still hanging around on the 1T level. Going steady.
Reminder, June and Nov 2022 witnessed a bottom of 800ish B MC vis-a-vis the market’s top in NOV 2021 at 3T.

Infographics

FED balance sheet increase

  • This is something worrying... They literally undid what they have done in the last 6 months amidst the FTX saga & inflation.
  • Moral of the story is that, neither FTX or inflation did they care as much as their bank pals. There is no way they can stop the inflation with such a move... Steady, lads.

🔢 Index

Fear index at 68 greed territory
  • I don't think we had been here during 2022 summer's the Merge hype. This is definitely too high for the current price level.
  • A TL:DR action would be sell when this index's in green if you bought in the red. Not Financial advice though, LOL
CBBI at 23
  • Happy to see people paying attention back to BTC, though am still not convinced that this price level can sustain.

📰 Current affairs

Starfish Finance:

Starfish Finance II - Attack of the (Dapp) Clones
Far beyond Earth and millions of miles past the moon, there’s a planet where Decentralized Finance (DeFi) and NFT-Fi meet on an interoperable network. First observed in 2022, the world known as “Starfish Planet” is home to degens, hodlers, frens and a starfish named Sean.
Starfish Finance II - Attack of the (Dapp) Clones
Starfish Finance: A cross-chain DeFi, NFT-finance platform on Astar Network, a Polkadot parachain
Starfish Finance is a pioneer project in the Astar incubation project and the first decentralized finance (DeFi) and nonfungible token (NFT) finance platform on Astar Network.
Starfish Finance: A cross-chain DeFi, NFT-finance platform on Astar Network, a Polkadot parachain

BTC

Europol shuts crypo tumbler ChipMixer, seize $46m in bitcoin
Authorities seized over 1900 bitcoin and allege the platform facilitated $3.8 billion in money laundering over its existence.
Europol shuts crypo tumbler ChipMixer, seize $46m in bitcoin
Bitcoin Dominance Reaches 9-Month High
The bitcoin dominance rate has climbed amid increasing turbulence in crypto markets, and more lately as the price of bitcoin also reached a nine-month high.
Bitcoin Dominance Reaches 9-Month High
Balaji Srinivasan Says Hyperinflation Happening Now — Makes Million-Dollar Bets on Bitcoin Price Exceeding $1M in 90 Days – Economics Bitcoin News
Balaji Srinivasan says hyperinflation is happening now. He is making million-dollar bets that bitcoin will rise to $1 million in 90 days.
Balaji Srinivasan Says Hyperinflation Happening Now — Makes Million-Dollar Bets on Bitcoin Price Exceeding $1M in 90 Days

ETH

Ethereum’s Shanghai Upgrade to Enable Withdrawals Set for April
Ethereum’s next major software upgrade, which could make crypto’s biggest commercial highway more attractive to investors and developers alike, will take place around April 12.
Ethereum’s Shanghai Upgrade to Enable Withdrawals Set for April

Layer 1s/ Major DeFi

Binance Will Convert $1B Worth of BUSD Stablecoin to Bitcoin, Ether, BNB and Other Tokens
Binance tapped into its Industry Recovery Initiative funds to cover the move.
Binance Will Convert $1B Worth of BUSD Stablecoin to Bitcoin, Ether, BNB and Other Tokens
Crypto’s Latest Stablecoin, Called HOPE, Started by Ex-Babel Finance CEO Flex Yang
The token will serve as the native stablecoin for the new Hope ecosystem, which is focused on bringing traditional-finance users to the crypto market.
Crypto's Latest Stablecoin, Called HOPE, Started by Ex-Babel Finance CEO Flex Yang
Stablecoin issuer CNHC raises $10 million in funding led by KuCoin Ventures
CNHC Group, the issuer of the CNHC stablecoin that is pegged to the offshore Chinese yuan, raised $10 million in funding.
Stablecoin issuer CNHC raises $10 million in funding led by KuCoin Ventures
Arbitrum to Airdrop New Token and Transition to DAO
The long-awaited ARB token will grant holders the ability to vote on changes to the leading Ethereum layer 2 network.
Arbitrum to Airdrop New Token and Transition to DAO
Tether’s Stablecoin Market Cap Now Double USDC After SVB Chaos - Decrypt
Several key metrics indicate the Tether (USDT) stablecoin is emerging as a key winner from the recent chaos in crypto markets.
Tether's Stablecoin Market Cap Now Double USDC After SVB Chaos
TrueUSD Moves $1B in Reserves To The Bahamas After U.S. Banking Failures - The Defiant
The company behind TrueUSD, the fifth-largest stablecoin, moved $1B of the company’s reserve assets to a Bahamas-based financial institution citing the tumultuous state of the U.S. banking sector on Wednesday.
TrueUSD Moves $1B in Reserves To The Bahamas After U.S. Banking Failures
Internal war breaks out at DefiLlama as ‘rogue’ employees reject token plan
Team members of DefiLlama are attempting to fork the blockchain data platform after pushing back on an ‘ongoing attempt to launch a token.’
Internal war breaks out at DefiLlama as 'rogue' employees reject token plan

Twitter

Mega thread on the state of Arbitrum
Crypto Research Tools Mega Thread

NFTs

Meta announces plans to stop working on NFTs
Meta is ditching its NFT plans to prioritize on other means of helping creators and businesses connect with and monetize userbases.
Meta is ditching its NFT efforts
‘Game changer’: Amazon’s rumored NFT platform embraced by Blur, OpenSea and Orange Comet
Executives at Blur, OpenSea, Orange Comet and Magic Eden are generally bullish amid speculation Amazon is getting into selling NFTs.
‘Game changer’: Amazon’s rumored NFT platform embraced by Blur, OpenSea and Orange Comet
Salesforce Taps Into NFTs Through Suite of New Web3 Products
The cloud services giant is helping companies integrate NFTs to deepen their relationships with customers.
Salesforce Taps Into NFTs Through Suite of New Web3 Products
Doodles Is ‘No Longer an NFT Project,’ Co-Founder Says
Jordan Castro, aka Poopie, explained in a tweet the brand is “growing into a company with the goal of becoming a leading media franchise.”
Doodles Is 'No Longer an NFT Project,' Co-Founder Says

Macro econ/ Regulations

Crypto Faces a Banking Crisis. For Some, It’s a Conspiracy
The collapse of crypto-friendly Silvergate and Signature Bank has left the industry scrambling to find anyone willing to work with them.
Crypto Faces a Banking Crisis. For Some, It’s a Conspiracy
LinksDAO Wins Bid to Buy Scottish Golf Course, CEO Says - Decrypt
The Web3 golf community claims that it is following through with its original plan to buy a real-world golf course.
LinksDAO Wins Bid to Buy Scottish Golf Course, CEO Says
Crypto Twitter Thinks the Fed’s $297B Balance Sheet Expansion Is ‘QE’, but It’s Not
According to some observers, the latest expansion in the central bank’s balance sheet is not outrightly stimulative like the one seen following the coronavirus-induced crash of 2020.
Crypto Twitter Thinks the Fed's $297B Balance Sheet Expansion Is 'QE', but It's Not
Coinbase’s proposed overseas trading venue would offer derivatives: Sources
Coinbase has briefed market-making and trading firms about the plans to roll out the platform in an offshore jurisdiction in a move that will pit it against rival Binance, which dominates the space.
Coinbase's proposed overseas trading venue would offer derivatives: Sources
Microsoft testing crypto wallet in its web browser Edge: Bleeping Computer
Tech giant Microsoft is working on a non-custodial crypto wallet for its web browser Edge, Bleeping Computer reported Friday, citing testing of the new feature.
Microsoft testing crypto wallet in its web browser Edge: Bleeping Computer
Tron’s Sun also wants to buy struggling Credit Suisse to turn it into “crypto-friendly” bank
“I would like to propose my own offer of $1.5 billion to acquire Credit Suisse and integrate it into the Web3.0 world,” he wrote Sunday in a thread on Twitter.
Tron's Sun also wants to buy struggling Credit Suisse to turn it into "crypto-friendly" bank

Research reports/videos (DYOR)

NFT gem hunt methodology
Can AI make secondhand luxury shopping easier?
AI startup Sociate has developed a new generative chatbot that aims to improve the shopping experience, which is rolling out with resale platform Hardly Ever Worn It. Despite advances, the tech remains a hard sell.
Can AI make secondhand luxury shopping easier?
Crypto Long & Short: Finding Alpha in AI-Related Crypto
Artificial Intelligence may be a theme worth exploring – potentially transformative in the way that cryptocurrencies have been.
Crypto Long & Short: Finding Alpha in AI-Related Crypto
Kaiseki
(Any views expressed in the below are the personal views of the author and should not form the basis for making investment decisions, nor…
Kaiseki